The American Fraklim President Roosevelt appointed a committee to pinpoint new technology that could influence subsequent
years. Published in 1937, the prodigy of the report could not hit anything. Neither the success of the ballpoint pen has forecast. But this is just a case of an endless series. Was not improving the candle wax that Thomas Edison discovered the light bulb. Radically new ideas can not be provided, otherwise would not be new. The history of humanity than of surprises in technology, has always been troubled by pests or social convulsions that appear when least expected, such as AIDS. But the list is so long that the French writer Alexis de Toqueville said in 1850: "The big brains were unable to say how the future would be as much as the wise men of antiquity, which have not predict the end of slavery, the Christian society the invasion of barbarians and so "... Futurology of the past used to speak so vague and confusing. One of the greatest masters of this technique was Michel Notredame, the Nostradamus, physician Jewish convert to Catholicism, who lived in France in the 16th century. He left a book of
prophecies that obscure fashion again at the end of the 20th century. In the few times when she spoke clearly, was wrong. Predicted a bright future for the king Henry II of France, a few months after he suffered an accident and died in a tournament. But the current project fortune-teller 3 scenarios: one optimistic, one pessimistic and one intermediary. As if things can behave in 3 ways: good, bad or more or less, always hit, although accurate, are not predicting anything. Another technique is to see how things go in the future and imagine that walk the same way. The newspaper La Justice declared in 1882: "Dangerous, smelly, uncomfortable, ridiculous and definitely for the quick oblivion, so is the car, made in Germany by Mr. Benz and Daimler." In 1941, the prof. Campbel University of Alberta, Canada, stated that a trip and return to the Moon was out of the question, since it would take 1 million tonnes of fuel to carry each 453 grams of payload. Paragraph correct, as verified later was 1 million times smaller. Accurate
forecasts already existed, although rare. Example was provided by the possibility of talking cinema and a life expectancy of 50 years.