Objective: To continue the previous evaluations of morbidity and specific mortality due to an
earthquake, measuring
a magnitude of 7,2o Richter and having the main seismic wave a duration of 10 - 15 seconds.
Methods: Taking into account the above presented data a
simulation of an earthquake with the main focus in Vrancea area, with an magnitude of 80 on the Richter scale and the duration of the main wave lasting 15 seconds, was simulated.
Results: The computer program Epi Info 6.04D was used and a unique calculation algorithm was developed to obtain the results shown in the paper. The main results of the simulation were: (1) 22.147 total expected
casualties, (2) 3336 total deceased, and (3) – 4034 total trapped casualties. The other categories are presented in the rest of the work.
Conclusions: It was noted that an evaluation of urban vulnerability, an estimation of the expected number of casualties, and an evaluation of hospital and prehospital system’s capacity and structures are needed. Also, an accurate prehospital intervention system and a medical emergency system as the infrastructure for the medical intervention system in disaster situations must be developed. It was found that proper endowment and preparedness of the entire medical intervention system is needed, and a firm leadership in the medical intervention system and communication system must be provided.
Key words: disaster; earthquake; preparedness