Write your abstract here. .Adapted from article in Outlook by URI AVNERY IRAN-US Relations
Part1. Imagine a situation in which Israel launches a preemptive strike against Iran and Iran retaliating it. This would serve as sufficient provocation for US to intervene. And if they do act as assumed, as they are bound by an agreement to come to Israel''s aid in case of a war, (irrespective of the fact whoever had started it ), the situation in the Middle East and the whole world may better be imagined and would be mind boggling. This conflict could escalate and many countries are likely to jump into the fray with the obvious result of the pain,sufferings , losses ,and untold misery and loss of lives both
military and civil .This scenario is not altogether imaginary but is likely to present sooner or later, should the present war of words is pursued to its logical conclusion. Time and again we hear assertions like, '' we keep all our options open and try to settle all issues by mutual talks and if they (IRAN) fail to listen, we have no option other than ''military action ''as the last resort " made by American President George W Bush. The ostensible reason is the allegation against IRAN constantly repeated i.e , "they are pursuing a
nuclear weapons program and US and their allies (France , United Kingdom etc) suspect it to be a clandestine move to build nuclear equipments with a view to strike ISRAEL out of the world map.The latest assertion came from Mr Bush recently when ''USA Today'' reported "Bush raises specter of World War III, if IRAN gets nuclear arms." In this connection the veiled warning given by Mr Putin, of the consequences of an attack against IRAN when he visited Teheran has to be viewed as a grim foreshadow of shape of things to come . Another reason prompting the threatened military action against IRAN seem to stem from his(Bush) obsession aided by taunting made by media and the advices he gets from his his aides ''to achieve something creditable'' to save his name ,at least at the fag end of his tenure as a President , in history books ,but for which he may go down as the ''worst President'' the Republic ever had in the annals of their long history, going by a record of sorts beginning with "Twin Tower tragedy "(Reflecting no credit to the country''s intelligence),and ending with the grievous IRAQ fiasco.etc . Of course, going by the traits of his character the war option is quite frightening as we see the American Army is already pinned down in IRAQ and Afghanistan.To dream of invading a country 4 times the size of IRAQ with a population 3 times is no child''s play.Leave alone invasion, even a project of only bombing of ''specified military objects ''and nuclear facilities '' using ''smartest bombs'' and most sophisticated missiles ( as they did in in Serbia and Afghanistan ) is not going to be an easy task.The avowed objective may be , not only merely to destroy their nuclear missiles and installations but also all their military installations and Government offices etc in a manner ,as one American General haVietnam ''we shall bomb them back to stone age'' and ''turn back their clock by 20 years'' as remarked by Israeli'' Air Force General about Lebanon. However, these actions could definitely result in utter catastrophe. For a failed President the prospect of an easy short war may be a tempting proposition,but is not going to be a ''cake walk ''(in American parlance)as he imagines it to be. Iranians are a proud,resolute and highly motivated people and as they have pointed out, for the last 2000years have NEVER attacked any country but have amply proved their determination as to how they can defend themselves as revealed during the last eight years of Iran-IRAQ war. KONTHAI